Peaks and Troughs
While I was travelling over the Andean mountains soaking in the majestic sceneries and virtually out of touch with the financial world for over 10 weeks, the PMs market seemed to be having its own mountain-valley experience. Unknown to me, gold and silver took a 15 and 24 percent plunge respectively against the USD towards the end of the year. While they were down against most fiat currencies, it did not affect me, nor others who’ve saved and done their accounting in ounces of gold and silver. Not one bit. Neither did they do us much good when their USD prices soared 11% and 19% respectively in January. Life goes on while the powers that be continue to play their paper shenanigans.
For the benefit of readers who continue to do their accounting in units of fiat currencies, I’ve summarised the performance of gold and silver in several currencies through the charts below. Hope they help to put things into perspective.
-
Gold & silver performance relative to various currencies in 2011
In 2011, gold appreciated by an average of 14.3% against all 75 fiat currencies tracked by goldsilver.com, while silver averaged a corresponding loss of 6.8%. Among the selected currencies of interest charted above, only the Indian Rupee recorded a loss against both gold and silver.
-
Gold & silver performance over 12 years
Going back to the beginning of this secular bull market in PMs, both gold and silver charted impressive gains against all tracked currencies. If you’ve been earning or saving in Indian Rupees over the past 12 years, you’d have lost over 500% against both gold and silver. If you think the Indian Rupee had it bad, spare a thought for those who’ve saved in Iranian Rial or Argentinian Peso, which depreciated by 3,368% and 2,240% respectively against gold.
Gold & silver performance before April’s price take downs
Silver’s 2011 performance was extremely volatile peaking in late April. Silver’s peak and subsequent drop in price mirrored what we witnessed in its 2008 price action when the silver spot price dropped 50% peak to trough intra-year. This chart shows how silver has been leading gold’s performance just before the April price take downs.
Be prepared!
If you’ve been following recent geo-political and macro-economics news, you’d be much better informed than me. Doing a quick review of what transpired during the period I left this blog idle, here’s what I consider noteworthy developments:
- The Fed’s announcement of its zero-rate policy through 2014, requiring it to print more money to buy US Treasuries.
- ECB engaging on its own campaign of printing money hoping to “solve” Euro zone’s deepening debt crisis.
- Start of a countdown to the war with Iran.
- MF Global’s $6.3 billion “repos” saga leading to its collapse and potentially bringing down the Futures/Options (and other derivatives) market along with it.
Bottom line is things are getting worse, not better (as the MSM would have you believe), especially for savers and retirees. 2012 and 2013 are setting themselves up to be potentially disruptive years. Be prepared!
Updates to static pages:
- GoldMoney Review: Discontinued services, Gold & Silver “Client holdings by vaults” charts as at 30 Dec 2011
- BullionVault Review: Gold & Silver ”Client holdings by vaults” charts as at 30 Dec 2011
- Compare AFE, BullionVault, GoldMoney: Comparative gold & silver holding charts as at 30 Dec 2011 and Alexa comparative traffic rank chart as at 01 Feb 2012.
- Fees Comparison: Highlighting GoldMoney’s zero-spread trading advantage.
- Forecasts: All close ended PMs price action forecasts by industry leaders were off target! New ones are being tracked.
-
On the lighter side…
Endemic to the Galápagos Islands, these bright golden land iguanas (Conolophus subcristatus) are incredible friendly and approachable. If not for the 2-meter rule, you could easily reach out to touch them!
Leave a Reply Cancel reply
Most Popular
Most Recent
- Gold: Is It Really In a Pricing Bubble?
- The Politics of Gold
- Potential sharp moves in gold & silver prices. Which direction?
- Malaysian Central Bank Raided “Gold Investment” Company
- BullionVault Gold Investor Index: A tool to to track how private investors react to the price actions in gold
- Why Borrow When You Can Print?
Archives
Featured Reviews
05Sep: Bill Murphy (GATA)
$50 silver by year end
13Aug: James Turk (GoldMoney)
We won’t see $1580 gold & $27 silver again
12Aug: Bill Murphy's source
We could see a 100% increase in 90 days.
03Aug: HSBC Analysts
Gold to rally above $1,900 by end 2012
05June: David Bond (SilverMiners)
Gold & Silver may bottom at $1,200 & $18
02June: Don Coxe (Coxe Advisors)
Europe to issue Gold-backed Euro Bonds within the next 3 months
21May: Gene Arensberg (GotGoldReport)
Gold and Silver are very close to a bottom, if one has not already been put in last week
9May: Eric Sprott (Sprott Asset)
Gold over $2000, Silver over $50 by year end
>> More forecasts & forecast accuracy
Featured Videos
Finding Silver: For a change, forget about the politics and financial aspects of silver. Let's appreciate the science & the engineering behind that beautiful silver coin. |
High Frequency Trading: You can get in easily. "Getting out is the problem" David Greenberg, former NYMEX board and executive committee member. Paper gold & silver markets are dominated by HFTs. |
Gold & Silver Interviews (KWN)
- More Stunning Developments In The Gold & Silver Markets October 14, 2012
- Exclusive - Riots & Money Fleeing The Euro Into Gold & Silver October 13, 2012
- Art Cashin - We Are At Risk Of A Frightening Hyperinflation October 12, 2012
- Fleckenstein - Gold & Insane Central Banks Printing Trillions October 12, 2012
- Embry - This War In Gold & Shorts Getting Overrun October 12, 2012
- The $2 Trillion European Bailout Package Is Coming October 11, 2012
- Turk - Expect A Massive Short Squeeze In Gold & Silver October 11, 2012
- Lost Confidence Can’t Be Restored & Gold’s Final Move October 11, 2012
Finance & Economics
- Did Central Bankers Kill The Single-Name CDS Market (For Now)? October 14, 2012 Tyler Durden
- The Top 15 Economic 'Truth' Documentaries October 14, 2012 Tyler Durden
- Guest Post: How To Spot A Keynesian October 14, 2012 Tyler Durden
- The Punch Line: All The Charts That's Fit To Print October 14, 2012 Tyler Durden
- Why Are Americans So Easy To Manipulate? October 14, 2012 Tyler Durden
- Guest Post: On Currency Swaps And Why Gartman May Be Wrong In Focusing On The Adjusted Monetary Base October 14, 2012 Tyler Durden
- Bernanke – I Want To Pick A Fight With China October 14, 2012 Bruce Krasting
- 23 Miles Of Free Fall - Live Webcast Of Felix Baumgartner's Third World Record Attempt From The Edge Of Space October 14, 2012 Tyler Durden
Search by Tags
References
LaRouchePAC: Lyndon LaRouche
Paul Craig Roberts IPE
G. Edward Griffin's Unfiltered News
Trends Research Institute (Gerald Celente)
Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin (GEAB)
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee (GATA)
Butler Research LLC (Ted Butler)
The International Forecaster (Bob Chapman)