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The only viable solution is to get government out of the money business permanently

May 15, 2012 Leave a comment

Ron Paul

The Fed: Mend It or End It?

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Last week I held a hearing to examine the various proposals that have been put forth both to mend and to end the Fed. The purpose was to spur a vigorous and long-lasting discussion about the Fed’s problems, hopefully leading to concrete actions to rein in the Fed.

First, it is important to understand the Federal Reserve System. Some people claim it is a secret cabal of elite bankers, while others claim it is part of the federal government. In reality it is a bit of both. The Federal Reserve System is the collusion of big government and big business to profit at the expense of taxpayers. The Fed’s bailout of large banks during the financial crisis propped up poorly-run corporations that should have gone under, giving them a market-distorting advantage that no business in the United States should receive. The recent news about JP Morgan is a case in point. JP Morgan, a recipient of $25 billion in bailout money, recently announced it lost another $2 billion. If a corporation shows itself to be a bottomless money pit of “errors, sloppiness and bad judgment,” the Fed shouldn’t have expected $25 billion in free money to change that or teach anyone a lesson in fiscal discipline. But it determined that this form of deliberate capital destruction was preferable to one business suffering bankruptcy. Clearly, some changes need to be made.

Several reforms for the Fed were discussed at the hearing. One was a call for the full employment mandate to be repealed, in order to allow the Fed to focus solely on stable prices.

Another reform calls for changes to the composition of the Federal Open Market Committee. Still another proposal was for outright nationalization of the Fed or of its functions. But if what the Fed does now is bad and inflationary, allowing the Treasury to print and issue money at-will would be even worse, and could possibly lead to a Weimar-like hyperinflation.

The problems and advantages of the gold standard were discussed at the hearing. The era of the classical gold standard was undoubtedly one of the greatest eras in human history. For a period of several decades in the late 19th century, the West made enormous advances. However, the gold standard was still run by government. The temptation to suspend gold redemption reared its head again with the outbreak of World War I. Once the tie to gold was severed and fiscal restraint thrown to the wind, undoing the damage would have required great fiscal austerity. Instead, the Western world proceeded to set up a gold-exchange standard which lasted not even a decade before easy money led to the Great Depression.

While returning to the gold standard would certainly be far better than maintaining the current fiat paper system, as long as the government retains the power to go off gold we may end up repeating the same mistakes.

The only viable solution is to get government out of the money business permanently. The way to bring this about is through currency competition: allow parallel currencies to circulate without receiving any special recognition or favor from the government. Fiat paper monetary standards throughout history have always collapsed due to their inflationary nature, and our current fiat paper standard will be no different.

It is imperative that the American people be educated on the dangers of the Fed and the importance of restoring sound money. The laying of the groundwork must begin today, so that the American people will be prepared for the day when the mirage the Fed has created evaporates completely. The full hearing footage is available on my website and I would encourage every American to take a look.

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Compulsive Hoarding is an affliction, an illness

April 19, 2012 Leave a comment

Submitted by Adrian Ash | BullionVault

Just because you hoard money or Gold Bullion, doesn’t mean you’re sick or wrong…

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It disables the sufferer and those around them, presenting a health hazard as stuff piles up and the home turns into a trash can.

“Hoarding and anxiety go hand-in-hand,” says one struggling survivor. “For many people, including hoarders and non-hoarders, fear keeps us from letting go of objects we don’t need.” Beating fear is a tough ask, however, and “clean-up usually provokes intense anxiety,” says another report.

Anyone helping the hoarder – even a professional cleanup crew – should be gentle, always caring and encourage the person to deep breathe and relax.

Now, given these sensitivities – and seeing how the causes of hoarding include dementia, depression, and obsessive compulsive personality – you might expect people to be a bit nicer when trying to get hoarders to stop. But no.

“Companies’ growing cash piles are irking shareholders and stunting growth,” barked the Financial Times in late January. “Politicians and policymakers are going to have to ask the question,” declared David Bowers of Absolute Strategy Research in London – “How much longer are we going to allow companies to run themselves for cash?

Two weeks later, Martin Wolf was at it in the same pages. “Britain needs to whittle down corporate cash piles,” he announced, also quoting approvingly a London finance type, this time Andrew Smithers of Smithers & Co. “If the fiscal deficit is to disappear…there needs to be a mixture of lower profits, higher investment, and significantly smaller current account deficits.

“Increases in government investment and private housebuilding would also help,” said Wolf, parroting UK and US economic policy since the Second World War. But the slaughter of corporate hoarders is new. Because the phenomenon is new, and “highly indebted UK households should not run large deficits again.” Or to quote The Times this Monday, “Consumers cannot lead recovery. Britain needs business to stop ‘stashing the cash’.”

Now “Companies must stop hoarding cash and start investing instead,” says – choke! – Will Hutton in The Guardian, quoting this week’s same press release from the same think-tank, Ernst & Young’s ITEM Club. “David Cameron and George Osborne have still not developed a full-throated industrial policy that would encourage companies to spend money on investment and innovation.”

“Business investment has picked up nicely in the US,” says ITEM’s chief economic advisor, Peter Spencer, apparently missing the $1.24 trillion in US corporate cash piles stacked up by end-2011 – well over half of it outside Uncle Sam’s borders according to Moody’s, as emerging-market growth plus onerous US tax treatment drives businesses to avoid remitting profits back home.

“But UK companies remain extremely risk-averse, which is sapping strength from the economy. Until these companies…start increasing levels of investment and dividends, the economy will remain on the critical list.”

Perhaps if everyone shouts loudly enough, the hoarders will snap out of it? But then, they are trying already, albeit at gun point. US equities have been paying a higher yield than Treasury bonds for the first time in six decades. “Total dividends paid by UK companies hit a record £67.8 billion in 2011 [$110bn] a rise of almost 20% on 2010,” says Hargreaves Lansdowne, the retail-investor brokerage. “Encouragingly, dividend growth was seen across all industry sectors.”

And it’s not like corporate US and Britain didn’t do their bit in fighting the war of debt vs. recession starting in the mid-1990s either. Over the 12 years ending spring 2009, for instance, private-sector UK companies outside the financial sector spent 124 months growing their bank debt net-net. Yes, UK households  fought harder (141 out of 144 months), but they began to rein in their borrowing sooner and actually saved money right when the canon fodder were called on for a last “big push” in late 2007.

But so what? “British companies are running a cash surplus of some 6% of GDP, the largest in the world,” says Hutton, gasping at people making a profit and daring to keep it.

[They] are refusing to spend that cash on investment or innovation, preferring to hoard it, preserve profit margins or buy back their own shares.

Oh the monsters! Refusing to spend…stashing the cash…hoarding what should be shared for the good of us all! It must not be allowed. And luckily the financial press began softening up public opinion at the start of the year, when the FT first ran that story about what it called “the $1,700bn problem. Companies in the US are flush with cash and are paying out a smaller proportion of their earnings as dividends than ever before. Much the same can be said for western Europe. Governments and households on both sides of the Atlantic are meanwhile strapped for cash. This cannot persist much longer.”

“Businesses run ‘for cash’, rather than spending in an attempt to boost revenues, do not promote growth,” said the Pink ‘Un.  The government should do something to stop it!

The battle front today is against the hoarding of currency. No one will deny that if the vast sums of money hoarded in the country today could be brought into active circulation there would be a great lift to the whole of our economic progress.

So said Herbert Hoover, then US president, in early 1932, and quoted in Murray Rothbard’s America’s Great Depression (Princeton, 1963). “We are making war on depression. War against a lack of confidence. Our people must have something tangible to do in the fight. There is no use to go out and say ‘Have confidence, courage and faith.’ They must have something positive to bite on.

They can bite on the question of hoarding.

Hoover’s war on the hoarders presaged Roosevelt’s war on fear, with a task force of opinion and business leaders enlisted to make hoarding cash – then outside the banks, under the mattress, for fear of default – socially unacceptable. “It [hoarding] began in April last year in consequential amounts,” Hoover told a private White House gathering of newspaper editors and other luminaries that February. “The disturbances in Austria, which finally culminated in the German panic, showed paralleled increases of hoarding in the United States, which rose at one time to about seventy or one hundred million a week…[Then came] the disturbance in Great Britain which finally resulted in the British abandonment of the gold standard.

“Instantly, within 24 hours after the Bank of England ceased paying gold, hoarding jumped in the United States to $250,000 a week.”

This was unsurprising. Because then, as now, people kept hold of their money – hoarded it, if you must – for fear of losing it to one of the catastrophes striking so many others around them. And then, as now, US citizens also had the option of what would soon prove a rare privilege, of hoarding Gold Bullion too. In the early 1930s, however, people kept their cash at home, out of deposit accounts, for fear of banking collapse. Gold meantime really was money.

Keeping gold at home – out of circulation and safely away from bank credit – was therefore bad for the nation. It could not be allowed to persist, and Hoover’s successor, F.D.R., wasted no time in making Gold Bullion illegal for everyone but the State, nationalizing private gold holdings at $26 per ounce, raising the official price to $35 per ounce, and thereby enforcing on the United States the very Dollar devaluation which gold hoarders had feared.

Bite on that. Or to put it another way, just because you hoard gold or fear bank credit today, doesn’t mean you are in need of treatment or tough love.

Buying Gold today? Make it simple, secure and low cost…starting with a free gram of Zurich bullion right now…at BullionVault

BullionVault & GoldMoney: So different, yet so similar

April 17, 2012 Leave a comment

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If you’ve checked out the Compare AFE, BullionVault & GoldMoney page, you’d have noticed that BullionVault & GoldMoney packaged their bullion dealership and custodian services very differently. It’s interesting to note how the same service can be approached in such a contrasting manner.

There is however, one other significant difference not highlighted in the comparison. It’s not so much about differences in the companies’ services. Rather, it’s over differing opinions of the founders in the much debated the matter of Gold Cartel and Gold Price Manipulation.

In a recent interview by Chris Martenson, Paul Tustain of BullionVault said:

I am not really strongly in the manipulation camp but I do agree that market manipulation tends to happen in futures contracts. This is not anything to do with gold or silver specifically, it is to do with the way futures contracts work.

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London AM & PM Fix

There are many gold and silver market abnormalities that have been cited as supporting evidence of gold price suppression by the “manipulation camp”. One of the more interesting ones is the phenomenon where the London AM fix has almost always been higher than the PM fix for over a decade. When asked concerning the above, Paul responded:

But I think there is a rational market explanation and I do not think that market manipulation by governments is in fact it. I think it is much simpler than that.

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It appears that he is using the Occam’s Razor, which is a principle urging one to select among competing hypotheses that which makes the fewest assumptions and thereby offers the simplest explanation of the effect. Put another way, it admonishes us to choose from a set of otherwise equivalent models of a given phenomenon the simplest one. It should be noted however, that simplest available theory need not be most accurate. Listen to Paul’s take on this issue and make your own conclusion after reading a detailed analysis of this phenomenon by Adrian Douglas. Paul also goes into great detail showing how other perceived market abnormalities or statistical aberrations can be explained away without invoking the manipulation theory, including the much discussed bullion banks’ short position in the futures market. A transcript of the interview can be found here.

Gold trading is influenced by government intervention

On the other corner of the gold price manipulation ring, we have James Turk, founder of GoldMoney, director of GoldMoney Foundation and consultant at Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee (GATA). James’ work exposing the gold price suppression scheme is all over the web.

In his April 13 article Some Answers to Doug Casey’s Questions James wrote:

The investigation into the inner workings of the gold market that are out of public view and decided behind closed doors in central banks is an ongoing effort. It has been that way for years, and fortunately, the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee has been there relentlessly compiling the mounting evidence that something is amiss, that gold trading is influenced by government intervention aimed at keeping the price from rising to its fair value. Or to put it another way, by allowing the gold price to climb higher year after year in what I have dubbed a “managed retreat”, governments hope that people will not notice what is happening to the ongoing debasement of the US dollar…

That was his conclusion at the end of his argument for the case that gold (& silver) price manipulation by central planners  has been and still remains a strategic policy to keep the dollar and the banks that support it alive. Read the full article here.

In his presentation at the GATA 2008 conference, James explained why central banks interfere in the gold market. Interesting to note how he foresaw the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy by predicting another Bear Stearns collapse was only several months away.

So there you have it – two innovative entrepreneurs, two great companies, very contrasting views on PMs market manipulation but they share one very important thing in common – Their relationships with their clients are on a Bailee/Bailor basis and not on a Debtor/Creditor basis. Both companies vouch in no uncertain terms that their clients have complete ownership of physical bullion in their custody. Their At the end of the day, I think that’s what matters most.

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Further Reading:

Commodity Money and Fiat Money: A Bushel of Wheat for a Penny

April 12, 2012 2 comments

A Bushel of Wheat for a Penny Part 1

by Steve Elwart, IDB Folio Specialist
Republished with permission from Koinonia House 

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This is Part 1 of a three-part series on money: where it comes from, how governments use it to control our lives, and how modern money policy makes the prophecies in the Book of Revelation seem very close to fulfillment.

Everyone reading this article is being robbed. We all use paper money and every day, governments are lowering its value. That value is being stolen from us. To understand how this is happening, we need to get to the basics of money. What is it?

Commodity Money

We learn in Genesis that Abram (renamed later by God to Abraham) was a rich man. How do we know? We are told that “he had sheep, and oxen, and he asses, and menservants, and maidservants, and she asses, and camels.”1 In Biblical times, these things were all media of exchange. No king decided this; he didn’t call in his magi to decide what the medium of ex-change would be. Ordinary people, or “the market” made the decision. Let’s say a king did decree that rocks could be used as money. Would anyone use them? Probably not, because they would not know the value of those rocks. Unless you are building a lot of things (or stoning a lot of adulterers), rocks fail to meet a standard for money: they have no intrinsic value.

If a civilization was to advance though, it had to come up with a convenient way to save and exchange value to buy things. Leather was used in ancient Rome. (Contrary to popular belief, Roman soldiers were not paid in salt. The term salary [from the Latin salārium] was money given to Roman soldiers to buy salt.2) Animal pelts, whiskey, and tobacco leaves were used in the former British Colonies, wampum (strings of beads) was used by the American Indians, dried fish were used in the Canadian maritime colonies, maize or corn was used in Mexico, and salt, iron and farming tools were used in Africa. These things are called “commodity money.” As civilizations became more complex, most forms of commodity money be-came very cumbersome. (Who would want to give or get 300 sheep to buy a car?) Another medium of exchange had to be found.

Over the centuries, the answer came to be the precious metals, gold and silver. These two metals became the basis for money in most of the world. Gold and silver were used as money for very specific reasons and they were chosen by “the market.” People decided that these two metals had all the qualities that made for a good medium of exchange:

  • They were easily portable. They had high value to weight ratios. (So if you want to buy a car, you only have to bring 16 ounces of gold rather than 300 sheep.)
  • They are fungible. Every ounce is like every other ounce no matter where they were mined. People didn’t have to worry about the quality of the pure metal.
  • They are highly divisible. They can be divided into very small parts or coins. The term “pieces of eight” came from the practice of taking a Spanish dollar, a real de a ocho and breaking it up into eight pieces or reales to make change. Diamonds fail the test of being divisible because if you break up a gem-quality diamond, it loses its value. (For that matter, sheep aren’t easily divisible either unless you are very hungry.)
  • They are highly durable; the thirty pieces of silver paid to Judas are still in existence today.
  • They are naturally scarce. They can’t be multiplied.

Fiat Money

There is another type of money besides commodity money, called fiat money. (Fiat from the Latin fiat, meaning “let it be done.”) This is an item, usually paper or low value metal coins, that is decreed to have value by a government.

A government puts fiat money into circulation first by connecting it to a gold or silver standard, but then cuts the link and says that gold and paper are no longer convertible, making the piece of paper “legal tender for all debts public and private.” It is obvious that debtors would be very happy if the pa-per money lost its value because they could pay their debts with inflated currency. In a letter to Edward Carrington in 1788, Thomas Jefferson wrote, “Paper is poverty … it is only the ghost of money, and not money itself.” Jefferson died bankrupt because of the early United States money (monetary) pol-icy based on paper.

It is not that fiat currency is a new invention. Fiat currency actually made its appearance over 1,000 years ago. China was the first country to issue true paper money around the 10th century A.D. Although the notes were valued at a certain ex-change rate for gold, silver, or silk, conversion was never allowed in practice. The bills were supposed to be redeemed after three years in circulation, but as more bills were printed with the older notes being refused redemption, inflation became evident. Government measures to prop up the currency were unsuccessful and it fell out of favor.3

In Europe, fiat money came into being around the 12th century. Villagers would store their gold and other valuables in their lord’s castle for safekeeping. But during this time of the Crusades and other European Wars, noblemen were always strapped for cash. When times were particularly bad, the noblemen would confiscate the villagers’ gold and silver and issue notes for it, to be redeemed later. Needless to say, the notes weren’t always honored or if they were redeemed, the holder of the note received less of their gold back than what they were promised. This is an early case of price inflation.

Today, fiat money will always bring on inflation for two reasons: 1) Politicians like to induce inflation because it gives the people the illusion of prosperity and 2) its declared value is much higher than the cost of producing it. Whether it is a $1 or $100 bill in fiat money, it costs only 4 cents to produce. In today’s electronic age, the production cost for new money is zero since money creation is just a keystroke and an entry in cyber-space. On the other hand, in history, if you had a $20 gold piece, the cost of that gold piece, less the cost to produce it, was about $20.

The Gold Standard

History of Gold Standard

If the relative value of gold is tracked over the years, one can see how fiat money loses its value over time.

By the 1400s, most countries that had complex trading systems were using gold and silver for transactions. Prices held relatively steady through the early 20th century, except for lo-cal shortages and wars. In the United States the price of gold and the things it bought held its value with exceptions for war-time when the government printed paper money to cover its war debts. After the emergencies and the country went back on the gold standard, prices went back to about where they were. During the First World War, most countries involved in the war suspended the gold standard so they could print enough money to pay for their involvement in the war. After the war, these countries went back to a modified form of the gold standard, but abandoned it during the “Great Depression.”

In 1941, most countries adopted the Bretton Woods system, which set the exchange value for all currencies in terms of gold. Countries that signed the Bretton Woods agreement were obligated to convert their currencies held by foreign countries into gold valued at $35 per ounce. However, many countries just pegged their currency to the U.S. dollar, thus making it the de facto world currency.

In the 1960s the United States had done something unprecedented in its history. The country fought two wars at once. The United States fought a war halfway around the world in Vietnam and a second war at home, the “War on Poverty.” To do this, the United States started to borrow massively and brought on double digit inflation. To curb the inflation, the United States government started to deflate the dollar. 1963 marked the entrance of the new Federal Reserve notes and the disappearance of the $1 silver certificate. This marked the point that no longer did the U.S. Government have to pay in “lawful money.” Finally, in late 1973, the U.S. government decoupled the value of the dollar from gold altogether and the price shot up to $120 per ounce in the free market.4 Since the United States went off the Gold Standard, a dollar is worth only one-sixth of what it was in 1973. (At this writing, gold is priced at $1,220 per ounce.5)

Inflation Always Follows Fiat Money

The history of price inflation in the United States is repeated in every country that uses paper money. Keep in mind, rising prices are not always bad. If a good becomes scarce, its price will go up and may provide the motivation to introduce a new, better product for the market. The reason petroleum became so popular so quickly was because of the rising cost of whale oil. If governments propped up the price of whale oil to keep whalers and whale oil processors employed, it would have taken decades for the world to embrace petroleum as a substitute. And someday, petroleum will go the way of whale oil as long as market forces dictate the transition.

When a government inflates its currency, it increases prices by reducing the purchasing power of the money. The short-term effects though, can seem to be positive. Like a drug addict, inflated money gives the illusion of prosperity, making people feel good. But like the addict, withdrawal follows the high.

At first, the surge of more money makes people feel good be-cause they can pay off their debts with cheaper money and they seem to have more disposable income. As prices catch up, people then find it more expensive to live. In addition, their tax burden goes up, since many government taxes are progressive in nature, meaning the percentage tax increases as in-come or asset values (houses, cars, etc.) increase. Eventually the market will try to correct itself and a depression will follow.

At this point, people start to feel the pinch of their money buying less. They demand that their government do some-thing. Since studies have shown that voters only have a memory of one year when it comes to politics, politicians will make sure that the economy is good in an election year.6 They will artificially stimulate the economy to give voters the illusion that times are good again and reelect the incumbents. This lasts only so long and inflation, with its problems kick in again. This cycle of increasing the currency supply and price inflation ultimately ends with the collapse of the currency, sometimes preceded by hyperinflation. (Hyperinflation and its cultural effects will be covered in Part 3 of this series.) Surprisingly, the country has not learned its lesson and the devalued fiat currency is replaced with yet another fiat currency. Greece is a perfect example of this cycle.

The Greek drachma was minted in gold and silver in ancient Greece and made its reappearance as a fiat currency in 1841. Since then, the value of the drachma decreased. During the German-Italian occupation of the country from 1941-1944, hyperinflation ravaged the country, ending with the issuance of 100,000,000,000 (100 billion)-drachma notes in 1944. After Greece was liberated from Germany, old drachmae were ex-changed for new ones at the rate of 50,000,000,000 to 1. Only paper money was issued, again a fiat currency. Greece then went on a program of deficit spending for social programs and inflation started once again.

In 1953, in an effort to halt inflation, Greece joined the Bretton Woods system and the drachma was revalued at a rate of 1000 old drachma to one new drachma. In 1973 the Bretton Woods System was abolished; over the next 25 years the official exchange rate gradually declined, from 30 drachmas to one U.S. dollar to a ratio of 400:1. On January 1, 2002, the Greek drachma was officially replaced as the circulating currency by the Euro (again a fiat currency).7

Today, Greece is once again is in trouble. After years of continued deficit spending and the government’s easy monetary policy, Greece’s financial situation was badly exposed when the global economic downturn struck. Very quickly, the government’s “creative accounting” practices were exposed. The national debt, put at €300 billion ($413.6 billion), is bigger than the country’s entire economy, with some estimates placing it at 120 percent of gross domestic product in 2010. The country’s deficit—how much more it spends than it takes in—is 12.7 percent.

This time though, Greece just can’t inflate their way out of the problem. Now that they are on the Euro (in the “Euro-zone”), they have little control over their monetary policy. All their loans are in Euros and they must pay back the loans in Euros. One way to balance the national books is to implement harsh and unpopular spending cuts. Another way is to default on their debt. This would seriously damage the Euro as other countries look at default as a way out of their financial problems. (In fact, financial experts are predicting the demise of the Euro in as early as five years.8) A third way out is to separate itself from the Euro, go back on the drachma (fiat currency again) and then set an exchange rate of the drachma to the Euro at an artificially high number. The cycle of fiat money would then begin again.

As long as a country is on a fiat currency, inflation is sure to follow. Using a fiat currency could well reduce a civilization to work an entire day for a “bushel of wheat.”

In Part 2 of this series we will look at central banking and how the banks can change a society.


Notes:

  1. Genesis 12:16b (KJV).
  2. “The American Heritage Dictionary of the English Language, 4th edition”. Answers.com. Retrieved 2010-06-05.
  3. Ramsden, Dave (2004). “A Very Short History of Chinese Paper Money.” James J. Puplava Financial Sense.
  4. History of the Gold Standard: http://useconomy.about.com/od/monetarypolicy/p/gold_history.htm
  5. Monex Precious Metals: http://www.monex.com/monex/controller?pageid=prices.
  6. “Voters Respond to Economic Woes” Economics and Public Policy: http://knowledge.wpcarey.asu.edu/article.cfm?articleid=1668.
  7. Greek Drachma, Wikipedia: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greek_drachma#First_modern_drachma.
  8. “Euro ‘will be dead in five years’”: http://www.telegraphic.com.uk/finance/financetopics/budget/7806065?Euro-will-be-dead-in-five-years.html

150 Years Of U.S. Fiat Currency

April 9, 2012 1 comment

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5 days ago saw the 150th year anniversary of an event so historic that a very select few even noticed: the birth of US fiat. Bloomberg was one of the few who commemorated the birth of modern US currency: “On April 2, 1862, the first greenback left the U.S. Treasury, marking the start of a new era in the American monetary system…. The greenbacks were originally intended to be a temporary emergency-financing measure. Almost bankrupt, the Treasury needed money to pay suppliers and troops. The plan was to print a limited supply of United States notes to meet the crisis and then have people convert the currency into Treasury bonds. But United States notes grew in popularity and continued to circulate.” The rest, as they say is history.

In the intervening 150 years, the greenback saw major transformations: from being issued by the Treasury and backed by gold, it is now printed, mostly in electronic form, by an entity that in its own words, is “set up similarly to private corporations, but operated in the public interest.” Of course, when said public interest is not the primary driver of operation, the entity, also known as the Federal Reserve is accountable to precisely nobody. Oh, and the fiat money, which is now just a balance sheet liability of a private corporation, and thus just a plug to the Fed’s deficit monetization efforts, is no longer backed by anything besides the “full faith and credit” of a country that is forced to fund more than half of its spending through debt issuance than tax revenues.

More on the history of American fiat from Bloomberg:

At the start of the Civil War, the U.S. didn’t have a national paper currency. Instead, the money supply consisted of U.S. coins and a collection of paper notes issued by private banks. Technically, the federal government began issuing its own paper currency in 1861. That year, the Lincoln administration issued $60 million in demand notes, a variant of a Treasury note that was redeemable “on demand” for gold coins at the Treasury or any sub-Treasury.

These notes were overshadowed in 1862 by the issue of $150 million in a new fiat currency officially known as United States notes and popularly known as greenbacks or legal tenders. By the end of the war, close to $450 million worth of greenbacks were in circulation.

The name greenbacks referred to the reverse of the notes, which were printed in green. The name legal-tender notes referred to the text that originally appeared on the back, which began, “This note is legal tender for all debts, public and private.” This provision made the currency a valid form of payment on par with gold and silver, which was a very controversial action at the time. It made the United States note a fiat currency — meaning its value was established by law alone and wasn’t based on some other unit of value, such as gold, silver or land.

Many Americans during and after the Civil War believed the creation of a fiat currency was unconstitutional. The Constitution explicitly stated that only gold and silver could be considered legal tender. In 1871, in the case of Knox v. Lee, the Supreme Court settled the matter by declaring that making United States notes legal tender was indeed constitutional.

By this time, the greenback was at the center of a countrywide debate on monetary policy. When the post-Civil War economic boom ended in the panic and depression of 1873, many people, especially farmers, blamed the Treasury’s policy of contracting the currency — that is, removing United States notes from circulation in an attempt to go back to the gold standard, which would require that a $1 note could be redeemed for $1 in gold.

As a consequence, there was a call for the expansion of United States note circulation or an inflation of the currency. This belief became joined with a political ideology that opposed big business and banking interests, resulting in the birth of the Greenback Party in 1874.

Opposing the Greenbackers were more conservative interests, sometimes known as “gold bugs,” who found support in the Republican Party and in elements of the Democratic Party. Gold interests proved the stronger contestant in the debate and in 1878, the total circulation of United States notes was fixed at a little over $346 million and the notes eventually became redeemable in gold (at least until 1933, when this provision was removed).

During the 20th century, United States notes became ever less important in the nation’s money supply, though Congress supported their continued circulation. They were increasingly replaced by currency issued by the Federal Reserve System, which came to look almost identical to the United States note. The Federal Reserve note thus became the new greenback.

In 1966, Congress allowed the Treasury to start removing United States notes from circulation. The last delivery of the notes by the Bureau of Engraving and Printing to the Treasury was made in 1971. In 1994, the Riegle Community Development and Regulatory Improvement Act eliminated the issuance of the notes altogether.

So instead of real money, America has an impostor “which came to look almost identical to the United States note” with the full complicity of everyone in charge, just so that when needed, any and all untenable debt burdens can be inflated away. And while the latter is a topic of a whole different discussion, we present another chart which, unlike the 150th anniversary of fiat, should be something discussed far more broadly… Because in a fiat world superpower status is always relative.

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Source: ZeroHedge

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Gold’s Hairway to Steven

March 16, 2012 Leave a comment

Submitted by Adrian Ash | BullionVault

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It’s now 6 months since gold hit its current all-time high. How long ’til the next…?

Thanks to hindsight, the bull market in gold which followed Richard Nixon unpegging the US Dollar, and therefore the rest of the world, from its last pretence of a Gold Standard sounds as inevitable today as Jimmy Page’s solo in Stairway to Heaven, also a 1971 classic.

But the gold price’s rise from $35 per ounce to $850 in less than a decade hardly ran that smooth at the time.

Gold's Stairway to Heaven

Hitting a new record high of $70 per ounce within a year of floating free from the Dollar, gold took 6 months to reach and breach that high again. The gold price then took a further six months to break the next July’s top at $127…then almost 7 months to break spring 1974′s high at $179.50…and then more than three years to top that winter’s peak of $195.25 per ounce.

Knowing not to sell but hang tight wasn’t easy. Not least because US investors had only just got in at the top. Nixon’s successor as US president, Gerald Ford made buying gold legal for the first time in three decades on the last day of 1974. But planning ahead, international bullion dealers had already pushed the price to that peak of $195 per ounce just 1 day earlier. So come the middle of 1976, America’s earliest buyers had lost 45% before costs.

Who could have said for sure that they would recover not only that loss, but make a further 355% gain on top, when gold finally peaked at the start of 1980 – the same year Zeppelin broke up? And who could have guessed that second peak would then prove gold’s ultimate climax – way up there, as high as heaven itself – for nearly three decades, longer even than a live Jimmy Page solo?

Gold's Hairway to Steven

Fast forward to spring 2012, and it’s now six months since gold hit what remains, for now, its latest all-time peak – a London Gold Fix on 5 Sept. 2011 of $1895 per ounce.

Just how long might gold owners wait to see it get there again? To date, the 21st century bull market has enjoyed seven breathers longer than this one so far. Ignore the first (it took the gold price very nearly back to 1999′s two-decade low beneath $253), and the average wait in these extended pauses has been nearly 11 months.

Chart

As you can see, higher prices are harder work to recover. The one before this – which began the day Bear Stearns imploded – took the gold price one-third lower for US investors. Its next peak (if not its final crescendo) came 180% higher from there.

Think of it more as Hairway to Steven than Stairway to Heaven. Because like the Butthole Surfers, investors either love gold or hate it, and the vast majority don’t get it at all. It makes one hell of a racket, terrifying and surprising those who dare to go near it, pounding onwards and upwards, right until the moment it falters and stops.

“Eventually, there will be a crisis of such magnitude that the political winds change direction, and become blustering gales forcing us onto the course of fiscal sustainability,” says Dylan Grice, strategist at Société Générale in his new Popular Delusions report for clients.

“Until it does, the temptation to inflate will remain, as will economists with spurious mathematical rationalisations as to why such inflation will make everything OK…Until [then], the outlook will remain favorable for gold. But eventually, majority opinion will accept the painful contractionary medicine because it will have to. That will be the time to sell gold.”

In the meantime, investors and savers cannot know that they are buying an uptrend instead of the top. Gold took very nearly 28 years to recover the big top of Jan. 1980 – way up there at $850 per ounce. That topped the 25-year recovery in US stocks after 1929′s Great Crash. We won’t know if Japan sets a new record pause with its stocks and real estate until November 2017. But the 30-year bull market in US Treasury bonds is sure to leave a heavenly high-water mark when interest rates turn upwards from today’s all-time historic lows.


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